Cheltenham Countdown: Shock Tactics

Back to Bet365 today for the latest in our pre-Festival specials, with a market for which race will provide the winner with the longest starting price.

It’s no surprise to see the big handicaps dominate, only once in the last five years does a non-handicap get even a share of this prize.

The Plate (twice), Fred Winter (twice) and Grand Annual (once) have been the most likely source of the biggest upset in recent years.

Of the three, the Plate, albeit with a long history of shock results, looks quite strong this year at the head of the market. However, both the Fred Winter and Grand Annual look ripe for upsets.

The Grand Annual is a tempting choice, with winners at 28/1, 20/1 and 16/1 twice in the last five years, and the knowledge your bet is alive until the last race.

The vote though has to go to the Fred Winter Handicap Hurdle. Prior to last year’s fortuitous winning favourite, this race threw up winners at 25/1, 33/1, 25/1 and 40/1.  With no clear shape to the head of the market and a potential defection of runners bringing in a lot of low-weighted runners, this has all the makings of another upset.  Bet365 offers 14/1, that’s a good looking bet.

Recommendation:  Cheltenham Festival – race with biggest SP winner – Fred Winter Juvenile Handicap Hurdle, 14/1, Bet365

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4 thoughts on “Cheltenham Countdown: Shock Tactics

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