Six Nations: Take Care With Top Tries

The Six Nations rugby extravaganza comes to a conclusion Saturday, with all eyes focused on Dublin where England attempt to claim back-to-back Grand Slams.

England have already won the title, but a second consecutive clean sweep would be unprecedented in the 18-year history of the Six Nations.

Standing in their way is Ireland. Although the title has already gone it would be a fundamental misreading of Anglo-Irish sporting relations to suggest the men in green have nothing to play for.

The bookmakers expect a tight game, with Ireland being given just a four point lead to create an evens bet. We, at Lap of The Odds, agree with that interpretation of the relative merits of the two sides, and thus can’t see a betting edge there.

However, where there may be an angle worth pursuing is in the tournament top tryscorer market.

England scrum half Danny Care has scored three tries so far this Six Nations, leading the way along with seven others. Care is quoted at 33/1 to score the most tries with Paddy Power and Betfair. Now it’s true that Care will start the game on the bench, but we compute the real odds of this event occurring to be nearer 16/1 based on the anytime tryscorer markets.

Recommendation: Care to be Six Nations Top Tryscorer at 33/1, Paddy Power/Betfair

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