World No. 1 golfer Dustin Johnson is not known for what he has “upstairs”, and he added another exhibit in evidence for the prosecution by finalising his Masters warm up by falling down the stairs at his Augusta rental home.
He is expected to play, but an injury in the lower back could hardly be in a worse place for a golfer. We had strongly recommended backing DJ at 7/1 before this news. (US Masters: DJ to Reign) If you are on like us, then it is sit and suffer time, hope it’s nothing, or hope that a generous bookie will refund stakes if he is a non-starter.
If you haven’t backed him yet, then it is probably best to sit and wait. He is 8/1 now, which is saying he is 89% as likely to win after the fall as before – that hardly looks generous. At the risk of him burning up the course in round 1, the safer option is to see him play before parting with any cash.
As a late starter he has time to recover, but also allows time for reportedly high winds to build up during the day’s play.
Indeed the best time to play looks like being early. That will suit our other outright selection Russell Henley, who is in an opening two-ball (the rest of the field is three-balls), who will not only have a pristine course to play but the opportunity to race around well ahead of the other contenders whilst the weather is at its most benign.
The 66/1 that was on offer about him being Round 1 leader has been blown away, but Paddy Power will still give 45/1 with each way down to 7 places. At the risk of doubling up our outright money, that could look value if the winds build as forecast.
Recommendations: If you haven’t backed Dustin Johnson then wait. Russell Henley to be first round leader at 45/1, each way, Paddy Power.
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