The Champions League quarter-finals continue this evening, as England’s remaining representative enter the fray. That’s Leicester City, yes, you heard me, Leicester City.
The Foxes have a difficult task, traveling to the Vicente Calderon Stadium to take on an in-form Atletico Madrid, a team which has reached the final twice in the last three years.
Leicester have also been playing well, putting together an impressive string of wins before Sunday’s reverse at Everton. The team has been scoring for fun–even netting twice while losing at Goodison Park–but now faces possibly the best defence in the world.
Atletico have not conceded a goal at home in their past eight knockout games, defying the likes of Chelsea, Barcelona, Real Madrid and Bayern Munich.
The problems for Leicester don’t just exist on one side of the ledger, up front Atletico fields striker Antoine Griezmann, widely regarded as one of the best players in the world. He has scored 23 goals in all competitions this season, including four in the Champions League.
We at Lap of the Odds HQ think Leicester will not only struggle to score against such a suffocating back line, but will find it difficult to keep a clean sheet – not a promising combination!
All that said, Atletico is quoted at 10/11 to win to nil, so we will look elsewhere for a larger price. The Spanish side has averaged 1.4 goals per game during its Champions League campaign this season, suggesting a correct score of either 1-0 or 2-0. We’ll go for the 2-0 option given the absence of Leicester’s central defender and captain, Wes Morgan.
Recommendation: Atletico to win 2-0 at 5/1, Paddy Power
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