Borussia Dortmund enter the second leg of their Champions League tie against Monaco on a wave of public support.
Many neutrals felt the German side were treated unfairly when they were asked to play the first leg less than 24 hours after their team bus was subjected to a bomb attack, seriously injuring one of their players.
Dortmund manager Thomas Tuchel now says the events of last week are “out of our system” and the players will react strongly to the 3-2 home defeat.
We at Lap of the Odds HQ tend to agree, and are looking at ways to bet on an improved Dortmund performance.
Paddy Power offers a price boost to 5/1, from 7/2, that Ousmane Dembele scores at any time during the game and Dortmund wins.
Now Dembele is best priced at 7/4 to score at any time, while Dortmund are evens to win. That’s around a 9/2 double, without accounting for the significantly increased likelihood of Dortmund winning if Dembele was to score.
We would price a Dortmund win given a Dembele goal at more like 1/2, and hence we would price the combined outcome as close to 10/3, making 5/1 look a stand-out.
Recommendation: Dembele to score and Dortmund to win at 5/1, Paddy Power
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