Cricket IPL: It’s a Bum deal…

After two consecutive stakes returned on our IPL selections, yesterday’s 4 way dead heat for top bowler was effectively stakes returned again.  Well we at Lap of the Odds HQ are big fans of recycling, so we’ll be throwing that stake back into the pot for today’s match up between the table-topping Mumbai Indians and the Delhi Daredevils at the curse-of-the-commentators Wankhede Stadium in Mumbai (1530 BST).

The shape of this game should be clear as Delhi love to set a total and Mumbai love to chase.  Mumbai are in top form and Delhi will be under immense pressure to set a challenging target.

That should really tell in the closing overs, and once again we will be fishing for cheap wickets by picking out the Mumbai Indians’ prime death bowler.  Step forward Jasprit Bumrah.

The Indian all-sorts merchant will have the Delhi closing blast bamboozled with his array of slower balls and disguised deliveries.  He always bowls 2 of the closing overs, and a brittle Delhi lower order could yield some returns for Bumrah.

Given our view that Delhi could struggle, there could be a case for Man of the Match for a Mumbai bowler, and Bumrah at 20/1 is quite tempting.

We will play it safe with the 7/2 that he is the top Indians bowler.

Recommendation:  Jasprit Bumrah, top Mumbai Indians Bowler, 7/2, Stan James

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