A bit of early Summer rain may be playing merry hell with the cricket, and turning my lawn into the Florida Everglades, but it throws up the fascinating prospect of unseasonal soft ground and the impact on consistency of form.
It’ll be pretty soft up in Hamilton, north of the border, and this offers some interesting betting angles.
The 13f handicap (1510 BST) features a short priced favourite in High Expectations, but the form of his win on better ground last week has already taken a knock, and softer ground here may not help. It may not suit Our Kylie, and whilst fine for Mistiness it will stretch his stamina.
This could open the door for veteran course specialist (including on soft) Operateur. He has had a pipe opener on the all weather, and he loves this course and distance. With former champ Paul Hanaghan on board, he looks over-priced. We will risk a win bet as he could be an all-or-nothing prospect.
Amy Blair (1540) looks nailed on having made all here last week and with winning form on soft and heavy. The runner-up from last week has already won since, and the opposition looks weak in the Alex Fergusson Memorial Handicap (?!).
Dandyleekie (1640) made a fine reappearance on soft ground at Doncaster recently and has winning form on soft and heavy ground in his past. He can dominate the sprint handicap from top weight.
We will double Amy and Dandy to get an attractively priced soft ground special.
Operateur (1510 Hamilton), 1pt win, 20/1 generally available
Amy Blair (1540 Hamilton) & Dandyleekie (1640 Hamilton), 1pt win double, approx. 11/2
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