Monday Races: Think smart.

We are well and truly into the pre-Royal Ascot lull.  As such, we are forced to fish in shallower waters and search long and hard for value.

One man treading the same route is North Yorkshire trainer Mark Johnston.  Johnston has one of the biggest stables in the north, and it is always worth noting when he travels farther afield with his runners.

Well today he travels a full 302 miles all the way to Brighton – which is a pretty extreme move.  He takes 3 runners on the trip – and whilst his 2yo maiden and his filly in the first two races have decent chances, it is the 3yo Think So that really catches the eye in the 10f handicap (1515 BST).

A son of top class 10f specialist So You Think, this gelding takes his first step into handicaps off the basement rating of just 50.  This rating has been hard earned – three runs to date have not seen the horse beat a single rival !!

It is hard to believe Johnston would persevere with a horse so bad unless the runs to date have been a handicapping ploy.  We will find that out today.  The booking of good jockey Adam Kirby, the 300 mile trip to the course, and a well backed place at the head of the market all suggest this has been a well laid plan.

He could be a genuine contender for the worst horse we have tipped on this blog (a well contested prize) – or he could be a cannily campaigned huge improver.  At the odds we are prepared to roll the dice.

Recommendation:  Think So, (1515 Brighton) 1pt win, 11/2 Paddy Power.

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