Tuesday Races: Back the Man in form…

One fruitful strategy for horse racing is to look for the resurgent stable.  When a stable goes through a dry spell and horses underperform, eventually those horses can get well weighted relative to their best – when the stable form reignites then they are poised to exploit their ratings.

The stable of Michael Attwater has been a little off key of late, but it was noticeable that 4 runners yesterday produced 3 seconds and a third.  This could be a sure sign of the turning of the tide and it is well worth keeping an eye on his runners right now.

He saddles 3 at Brighton this afternoon.  The most fancied is 7/1 shot Noble Deed (1615 BST) in the 7f handicap.  He is tempting and was at least a decent 3rd year last week heralding the stable’s return to form.

Monumental Man needs a bit more of a leap of faith, having beaten only 2 horses in his last 3 runs.  That said those were better races than the 1545 here today.  He probably blipped up too high after a Lingfield win, coupled with the stable form issues and some unsuitable races he may be worth forgiving that bad spell.

He is able to drop back into 0-80 company here, a grade he has succeeded in recently, and might be allowed to go off at too long a price.

The final Attwater horse is the 40/1 rank outsider in the 1645 race, Nip Down The Jug. he really hasn’t shown much so it would need to be a Damascan conversion to see him troubling the judge, but stranger things have happened.

Using the Goldilocks theory; Nip Down The Jug looks like just too much of a pinsticker, whilst Noble Deed looks a fraction too short for his ability.  Monumental Man on the other hand, looks just right.

Recommendation:  Monumental Man (1545 Brighton) 1pt win, 10/1 generally available

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