Newcastle’s all-weather surface hosts the historic Northumberland Plate (1530 BST) for the second time since the switch from turf.
Flymetothestars is a lightly raced course winner from master trainer Sir Mark Prescott. His winning chance is clear, but this will be a much more competitive contest than any he has encountered before.
We would prefer the chances of last year’s runner up Seamour, who must have a good chance of breaking a sequence of agonising defeats. He probably hit the front too soon last year and if held up a little longer must have a great chance.
We though will stick with our Ascot pick, Suegioo. This veteran is in great form right now, and his closing 5th at the Royal meeting was a decent effort from well off the pace. He has been 2nd and 5th in his two efforts in this race back in the turf days, whilst his only run on the all-weather was a winning one.
In a competitive race, he offers a decent each way option at a big price.
Earlier in the card (1350), the sprint handicap offers an interesting bet. The Ismail Mohammed trained sprinter Amazour won this race last year, and has won 2 from 2 over this track. He was an eye-catching 11th in the Wokingham at Ascot last time when badly blocked in his run, and he looks to be coming to the boil just in time to launch his defence.
Over at York, an old favourite of ours, Baraweez, steps down in class and looks to have conditions to suit. This is his lowest handicap rating since winning at the Galway festival in 2014, and his stable has hit a rich vein of form. The quicker they go the better, and he could spring a surprise here at long odds.
Amazour, (1350 Newcastle), 1pt win, 6/1 generally available
Suegioo, (1530 Newcastle), 0.5pts each way, 33/1 Bet365
Baraweez (1535 York), 0.5pts each way, 14/1 generally available
Amazour, Suegioo & Baraweez, 0.5pts each way treble
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