How exasperating is backing Baraweez? He looked the winner from start to finish (minus 10 yards) yesterday, before being mugged late on. That is probably an honourable farewell appearance for him on this blog.
Several years ago, Galway was the scene of a particularly painful experience. We had a steady 70 rated handicapper running in the UK winning the odd claimer as we desperately sought an exit. Eventually he was sold after racing at Brighton to a couple of lads from Donegal for a bag of cash. We collected our approx 5K and wished them well. Within 6 weeks he had placed at Killarney, won at Bellewstown and then cruised home at the Galway festival – picking up just short of 20K in total. The Racing Post call him “well-bought”…which from our perspective meant “poorly-sold”. (Something we’d repeat just last year – but that’s for another day).
There was no way our (ex) horse improved- so the takeaway was that at a certain class (around a 70 rating) greater strength in depth in the UK was potentially leaving a horse seemingly exposed at a rating which, once transferred to Ireland, represented a winning mark in shallower waters.
Well the Irish bank holiday card at the Curragh gives us a chance to test the theory.
The big 6f handicap (1625 BST) sees a huge field of Irish sprinters reopposing after a number of entwining form-lines. We can ignore all that and rely on the UK import theory in the form of Steelriver.
It is a leap of faith as he has never won a turf race (3 all weather wins). But he ran very well in Scotland last time, will enjoy the drying ground and has what could prove to be an excellent draw.
He has been rated in the mid-90s on dirt and even mid-80s on Turf this time last year. He slipped to 68 when running well last time and an Irish rating of 67 may just be generous. At the odds it is worth a chance.
Recommendation: Steelriver, (1625 Curragh), 1pt each way, 16/1 generally available.
Please subscribe for notification of up-to-date tips and news, and follow us on Twitter and Facebook.