Wednesday Races: Go Johnny Go….

At the bottom end of the quality scale there are numerous racetracks which beg to be handled with care; Chepstow probably taking the honours, but there are a few that can be punting gold, and Catterick certainly tops that list.

We’ll be heading up to North Yorkshire this afternoon full of hope that one of our favourite tracks can help us find some winning ways.

First up is a super competitive 7f handicap (1520 BST).  The in-form Magical Effect looks the likely favourite and has a solid chance albeit with form almost exclusively at 6f.

Acrux makes appeal but looks errant under pressure, whilst Bahamian Bird has course form but a high rating to overcome.

We really like Johnny Cavagin.  This experienced handicapper has been generously dropped to a mark of 79.  This is very accommodating, he was third off 81 at Pontefract four weeks ago, finishing a length ahead of Magical Effect and now reopposes on 8lbs better terms,  With 4 wins at the trip, including over this track, he is also more proven under conditions, yet is more than twice the price.

The last time Johnny was rated below 80 was 2 years ago when he won a 16 runner  handicap, and the time before that was a further two years earlier when romping home here by nearly 4 lengths.  Things look in place for a huge run.

The closing race of the day (1720) is a 5f dash that sees the inner accountant in us drawn to the prospect of Ebitda.  This in form sprinter has blasted to two comfortable wins, and whilst shooting up the ratings, may be an improver that the handicapper struggles to keep up with.

Conditions look set fair for another big run today, and Ebitda can complete the hat-trick whilst landing us a much needed double.

Recommendations:

Johnny Cavagin, (1520 Catterick), 2pts win, 10/1 Skybet, William Hill

Ebitda, (1730 Catterick), 1pt win, 7/2 Skybet, BetVictor

Johnny Cavagin & Ebitda, 1pt win double, approx 60/1.

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