Thursday Races: Wide boys a wise move…

Newmarket’s Cambridgeshire meeting opens with a fascinating card.  We struggle to find a betting angle and will be watching closely for clues for the next few days.

Instead we will head up to familiar territory with a soft ground meeting at Pontefract, and some more sprint action to get stuck in to.

The first division of the 6f handicap (1530 BST) gives us one more chance to follow Johnny Cavagin off the cliff.  We have backed Johnny twice of late and he has run well without either race panning out to suit.

Therein lies the problem, he needs things to fall right.  On the positive side, he has Graham Lee in the saddle, Pontefract is his favourite venue with 3 wins, and his two runs this term at the track are two good placed efforts.  The soft ground is ideal these days, and a wide draw, often a hindrance, can be a positive if they peel wide off the home turn as they often do on soft.  One more chance.

The second division could go to Kenny The Captain, but we are intrigued by Start Time, and will let them fight out between themselves.

Instead we will wait for the 5f handicap (1750) and another blog regular, Muatadel.  He nearly landed a huge double for us at Doncaster recently when running third.  It is arguable that the handicapper has caught up with him, but we felt he could have won that day had the ground not dried out dramatically through the day.

Proper soft ground here should be ideal, and he has a good run at the track from mid-summer.  Drawn out in the car park in stall 16, he will certainly have to take the wide route up the straight, but by this late afternoon race, we will hopefully know that the wide route is the best route.

Recommendations:

Johnny Cavagin, (1530 Pontefract), 1pt win, 4/1 generally available

Muatadel (1750 Pontefract), 1pt win, 6/1 Bet365, BetVictor

Johnny Cavagin & Muatadel, 1pt win double, approx. 34/1

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