The abandonment of Ayr last week robbed us of a number of potential good bets – one of which reappears today.
The Declan Carroll trained Buonarroti looks supremely well handicapped if refinding his best form.
Only a year ago he was running a good fifth here off a mark of 90, and now he returns dropped all the way down to 69.
He didn’t get there by way of a slip of the handicapper’s pen, rather he has finished no nearer than fourth in 11 subsequent runs.
The key to his chance today comes from the ground. His good win at Ayr last year (off 81) came on soft, his best run this year came on soft at Doncaster, and his only run on heavy was a superb second in the 2015 November handicap.
Clearly this race is nothing like that class, so if the Haydock quagmire does spur an upsurge in form then this could be easy pickings.
Most of the opposition look either unproven or too proven, with favourite Big Sigh not sure to enjoy the surface and second favourite Seinfeld could be anything, which usually means is probably nothing. King of Scotland should enjoy the ground, but appealing as that group of 3yos are, on this bog it pays to trust the older legs proven to enjoy the mud.
Recommendation: Buonarroti (1410 Haydock), 2pts win, 17/2 Paddy Power.
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