October was never going to live up to the heady heights of September, and as feared it was a tricky month of transitions across most of our key markets.
Bets Advised: 95
Points Profit/Loss: -19
Pool Return: -19%
The basis for “Pool Return” is discussed on the Our Results page of the site where previous months’ results can be accessed.
Well we went into October with our eyes open to the risks of changing conditions in key markets, with racing seasons on the change, the golf season entering the low grade “Fall Swing”, the NFL still settling into a pattern and only really football on a steady footing.
This was reflected in lower stakes, other than in football, and overall a near 40% reduction in outlay commensurate with a “defensive” stance.
Horse racing looked like it was off to a good start with the 10/1 success of Syrian Pearl, but a disappointing display from maximum staked John Constable signalled a backward move. The month ended down 14 points from 48 staked, but came so close to being salvaged when 2pt pick High Expectations came cruising up at 13/2 only to unseat late at Cheltenham. Welcome to the jumps season.
Football was the bread and butter for the month. 31 staked bets yielded 7 returns averaging 5/1 a pop and resulting in 11pts gained on the month. We remain hopeful that this will continue now that form, line-ups and trends are becoming more predictable.
Golf was a blow out with 10 losing points in the month. That said, 2pts of that were staked on world no 1 Dustin Johnson at the WGC at 9/1, and a 6 shot lead heading into the last day looked like money in the bank, DJ had other ideas, and a final day 5 over meltdown saw our month melt with it. We will stay cautious now through the winter months.
Other sports, mostly NFL, yielded nothing. We thankfully broke our duck here in early November in what has been by common regard one of the most open and hard-to-call seasons in recent memory. We have adjusted our sights of treble combinations to singles and doubles to reflect this.
A hard-working month, but relatively unscathed and well set for November.
Many thanks as ever for your support