It’s very much the morning after as the European Tour trundles relentlessly from the end of season Dubai jamboree straight into a new season and the UBS Hong Kong Open.
An exhausted array of Tour big guns, Rose, Garcia, Fitzpatrick, Fleetwood are here to collect the sponsors appearance money, and may not have the reserves of energy and patience to take on a short narrow course.
It looks ripe for an upset. We have vowed to tread carefully as these jaded end of year contests are more lottery than science.
That said, if we can draw a line through the top of the market there may be some each way value that allows us to manage stakes accordingly and yet still have some fun.
First up we’ll take the in form fairway-finder extraordinaire Alexander Bjork. The Swede has had a breakthrough season and is still carrying that good form with him. He can challenge the places at decent odds.
Secondly we need to take a real leap of faith. Aussie journeyman Sam Brazel won’t be too familiar a name, which is unsurprising as he only has two top 20 European tour finishes. One of those was 19th in this event three years ago, the other was winning this event last year. Two recent top 50s in Turkey and South Africa suggest some form in the context of a litany of missed cuts, and he should have confidence returning here. He’s a massive price.
Stakes at a minimum all round.
Alexander Bjork, 0.25pts each way, 60/1 William Hill, 1/5th top 6.
Sam Brazel, 0.25pts each way, 200/1 Stan James, 1/5th top 6.
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