It’s a somewhat curtailed Monday card with the abandonment of Ayr leaving just Kempton and Ludlow for our entertainment.
Smallish fields and strong favourites make value betting a tricky proposition, and if you like wild multiples, stringing lots of favourites into monster permutations, then this could be your day.
One horse who could spring a minor surprise is Colin Tizzard’s Mick Thonic.
This horse has been plying his trade at the top table with six of his last eight runs coming at Cheltenham including finishing mid division in the Grand Annual at the Festival in March.
He did drop down into a similar course and distance event three starts ago and was travelling like the only credible threat to the useful Bigmartre when unseating Bryan Cooper 3 from home.
That pair continued their misunderstanding at Cheltenham next time when pulling up after a mid race howler.
Today’s jockey Robbie Power was in the saddle last time back at Cheltenham when given a very prominent ride where a clear sight of fences looked the priority. The get-round-safely tactics worked, and he ran with promise in a decent race until fading late on.
Ludlow should suit, and with confidence at the fences hopefully restored, Robbie should be able to ride a more suitable tactical race this time.
Robinshill leads the opposition, he would have won here two runs ago when a last fence caller, and then did win here last time. A rise in the weights just might ask a few questions in this stronger race although he’s obviously the one to best.
Second favourite, Chirico Vallis, sports a hood and a tongue tie, which is heavy on the equipment for a youngster, and his easy novice win in a four runner Southwell affair may not translate too well to this fiercer looking race.
Recommendation: Mick Thonic, (1425 Ludlow), 1pt win, 4/1 generally available
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