Premier League: South American magic

The Premier League program continues this evening, with some of the big guns trying to overtake Burnley into the Champions League places.

No such problems for Manchester City at the moment. They lie 11 points clear, and travel to South Wales to take on Swansea.

There has been a lot written about the goal scoring exploits of the City forward line this season, but something else has caught our eye at Lap of the Odds HQ. Argentine international defender Nicolas Otamendi has scored four goals in 15 league games for the leaders. That suggests an anytime goalscorer price of around 11/4 – but BetFred offers 12/1 for this fixture. Now they may well be pricing in some form of mean reversion, four in 15 does seem a lot for a central defender, but we’ll take a punt.

Next up Liverpool host West Brom, needing three points to climb back into fourth spot. Reds manager Jurgen Klopp took some stick for his team selection for the derby on the weekend, but that is unlikely to change his thinking. Other stars may well be rested, including man of the moment Mohamed Salah.

But one player sure to play tonight, in a team that is likely to be fired up after Sunday’s events, is Philippe Coutinho. After all, he has had his break!

We think there’s a chance Liverpool could take their frustrations out on West Brom, and will take the 8/1 that Paddy Power offers that the Brazilian scores at least two goals.

Recommendations:

Otamendi to score anytime, 1 pt, at 12/1, BetFred

Coutinho to score at least two goals, 1 pt, at 8/1, Paddy Power 

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