Sunday Nap: Race One – All in !!

No luck in the Champion yesterday- good analysis to narrow down to Supasundae and Bapaume, but then very much the wrong choice if two !!

The second day of Leopardstown’s festival sees the Gold Cup as a highlight.  See our Sunday Yankee Plus post for what we think could be a red letter day for JP McManus – but for the nap we are heading for one of the few races we don’t think he’ll win.

The opening mares hurdles sets a small conundrum.  Willie Mullins is habitually the man to go to for top hurdling mares and he runs the unbeaten Contingency off a low mark of 121.  This looks a gift and the bookies have rightly priced her up as favourite.  That said, her two runs were on early season going and against fairly weak fields.  She may be well in, but this is a much bigger test.

Harry Fry’s Canelie travels over as JP’s main hope, but is worse off here back in Ireland than she would be in the UK.  The first time tongue tie and change of stable worked the trick last time – but again this is a much  bigger ask.

We really like Jessica Harrington’s young mare Alletrix.  After winning her maiden she finished close up behind the more experienced Court Artist and Barra and is massively well in on that run.  She fell whilst in contention after that, but it is her most recent run that catches the eye.

The Willie Mullins trainer Laurina is a huge gamble for the Cheltenham Festival Mares novice having strung out a field of opponents at Fairyhouse recently.  Well the horse in an 11 length second was Alletrix, well clear of the rest.  A literal reading of that form (tricky given the winner had tons in hand) would put Laurina in here off around 11st, which we think would have her long odds on !!!

Fans of Laurina should take the hint, Alletrix can pay compliment by hosing home here.

Recommendation:  Alletrix, (1240 Leopardstown), 2pts win, 10/1 Bet365 (9/1 Skybet)

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One thought on “Sunday Nap: Race One – All in !!

  1. Pingback: Kerching ! Super Sunday rains winners… | Lap of The Odds

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