Thursday 3/1 Nap: Safe Harbour?

Plenty of jump racing today- but none of it particularly good.  As such it is a competitive little Chelmsford all-weather evening card that offers the most betting appeal.

The race with the most attractive betting shape is the 7f handicap (2000).

Possible favourite Harbour Patrol comes here off the same mark as when a clear Wolves winner last week.  That has him 5lb well in although he probably won’t get away with running so freely again.

On the plus side he gets proper professional assistance from in form Martin Harley, and a few confirmed front runners should ensure a pace that can allow for a more settled performance.  He need only repeat his effort (a challenge in itself at low grades like this), but there is a case for expecting improvement.

The opposition is headed by the trio of Effervescent, Rising Sunshine and Locommotion all of whom fought out a near blanket finish at Lingfield recently.  Tactics will probably dictate who gets the edge this time, possibly Sunshine, but they should finish in a bunch.  We like that: if Harbour Patrol beats one, he should beat all – in effect we are getting three threats priced into our return when in reality it is one (multi-headed) threat.

We know the other threat Tassaboq well having lost on him recently.  All three of his career wins were at Wolves, and he has a 21 race losing streak on the go, and has lost all 14 times as market leader. Punters beware.

If Harbour Patrol can bring last week’s Wolves form here he should win – a strong pace and a pro on top could even produce a better effort.

Recommendation:  Harbour Patrol, (2000 Chelmsford), 1pt win, 3/1 generally available 

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