The PGA Tour heads south of the border this week, with the Club de Golf Chapultepec just west of Mexico City hosting the WGC-Mexico Championship.
This is the second year of being held here, a tree-lined narrow course played at altitude, with world no. 1 Dustin Johnson the defending champion.
DJ won last year despite an iffy putting display. It’s ball striking which is key around this course, not the performance of the short stick given the bumpy poa annua greens. And with putting not being as important as it usually is on the PGA Tour a number of European players shone last year. Tommy Fleetwood came second, Justin Rose and Jon Rahm joint third, with Thomas Pieters, Rory McIlroy and Tyrrell Hatton in the top ten.
We’ve been keen on DJ this year, but we’ll give him a miss this week. Justin Thomas won last week via a playoff, which could be exhausting, while Jordan Speith hasn’t been playing well enough. Instead we’ll side with Rahm. The Spaniard started the year very well, but began to look a little tired. He’s had a little break and we’ll side with him.
Our second selection is a Dutchman who did us a favour a couple of weeks ago. Joost Luiten won in Oman when selected. He is an accurate player who will benefit from the altitude given he’s not the longest hitter. But he’s clearly in form and we’re getting a big price.
Rahm to win, 1 pt, at 11/1, widely available
Luiten 0.5 pts each way at 100/1, 1/4 the odds for the first five places, bet365
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