Snow Day: A Cheltenham treble to keep us warm…

Looks likely that all racing action will be blown away by Emma, the Beast from the East, today, which gives us a timely moment to load up on some early Cheltenham action.

We set ourselves the task of finding a 16/1 festival bet, and whilst there are a few single options at that price that make some appeal, none can match our festival treble.

Any festival combo starts for us with Cheltenham win machine, Cause of Causes.  Gordon Elliott’s chasing star has won the National Hunt Chase, the Kim Muir and the Cross Country, and defends his obstacle race title here.

He was an 9 length winner last year, and with the race off level weights, he should pretty much repeat the dose.  Stablemate Tiger Roll is almost the only plausible danger on class, with Frenchman Urgent de Gregaine a possible force only on very soft ground.

In our book he should be 6/4 and the bookies will give you twice that.

That leaves us another 3/1 to find, and we will piece that together by combining two basically unassailable novices.

A Samcro defeat will probably bankrupt Ireland – and could see the pound strengthen considerably.  Thankfully, the prospect of defeat in the Ballymore Hurdle looks remote.  Another for Gordon Elliott, he has looked a class apart in an unbeaten career, could do better still on decent ground, and is in a race with a fine record for hotpots.

He should probably be close to 1/2 for us, and again we can get considerably better.

A banker treble would not be right without a Willie hotpot.  Novice hurdlers Getabird and Laurina look more likely candidates than Footpad.  We like the mare, but Getabird looks like the one to focus on in the meeting’s opener, the Supreme Novice.

His Punchestown form is a match for any here, but the style was truly impressive.  Given the classic aggressive Ruby ride he should be very hard to beat.

Recommendation:  Getabird (Supreme Novices) 6/4, Samcro (Ballymore Hurdle) 4/5 & Cause of Causes (Cross Country) 3/1,  1pt win treble, approx 17/1

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