The PGA Tour kicks off early this week, with Wednesday seeing the start of the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play at the Austin Country Club in Texas.
This tournament sees the top 64 players (there are some absences) drawn into 16 groups of four, with a round-robin match play format determining the group winners who advance into sudden-death elimination.
The defending champion is Dustin Johnson, who has to get out of a group which includes 2017 Presidents Cup teammate Kevin Kisner, Canadian star Adam Hadwin and Austrian bomber Bernd Wiesberger.
Rory McIlroy looks to have an easier group to contend with, and his putter, so long his weak link, turned red hot over the weekend at Bay Hill. The Northern Irish star won this event in 2015 and needs to be looked at, but we think he could still be basking in the delight of Sunday’s win and we’ll pass for now.
World no. 2 Justin Thomas also has to be considered given how well he is currently playing, but his record at this event is poor – just one win in six.
Instead we’ll focus on Jon Rahm. The Spanish star finished runner up to DJ last year, pushing the world no. 1 all the way in his debut at the event. He decided not to play last week at Bay Hill and thus is rested. We think this is important, as winning the event means seven rounds of golf in five days.
We’ll take the 16/1 on Rahm to win the event, but will also take a fresh look after the group stage.
Recommendation: Rahm to win, 1 pt, at 16/1, BetFred
Please subscribe for notification of up-to-date tips and news, and follow us on Twitter and Facebook.