Aintree Day 1: Sundae muddy sundae…

The Daily Nap:

Supasundae, (1525 Aintree), 2pts win, Evens

No shame in picking a warm favourite.  This horse ran way above expectations in being the only one to give Penhill a race in the Cheltenham Stayers hurdle. That 3m trip is arguably on the long side, and back here over the 2m4f trip that saw him a Cheltenham winner last year, he can use more of his speed, which was good enough to win an Irish Champion Hurdle, and on a line through beaten horses, may well have seen him close in the Cheltenham Champion Hurdle.  Looks bullet proof against the regular pensioners My Tent Or Yours and The New One, and should probably be 4/6 on ground that could ride softer than labelled.

The Rest of the Card:

Cyrname,  (1345 Aintree),  1pt win, 9/4.

Missed Cheltenham where the test would probably have been unsuitable.  Has been kept to flat tracks over fences, and has steadily progressed.   He looks a reliable sort but would need a weakish Grade 1 to triumph at top level – but he gets that here.  Nicholls will have him spot on and he can win.  Brain Power runs with the choke out – he is the best horse but perhaps not at this distance on this ground, whilst Finian’s Oscar is also a better horse than Cyrname, but unlikely to beat him until he finds a way to see out his races.

Nube Negra (1420 Aintree):  0.5pt win 10/1.

A tough looking race with Cheltenham flop Apple’s Shakira looking to bounce back, whilst fresh stablemate We Have A Dream is a horse on a roll.  We take both on with the smooth travelling Nube Negra who didn’t get home at Cheltenham and may prefer this track.  Not one for big stakes though.

Tea For Two, (1450 Aintree), 0.25pts each way, 14/1

Won this race last year and again showed capable flat track form when placed in the King George.  Was well beaten in the Gold Cup, but may be capable of picking up the pieces here and making the frame if a few big guns falter.  Might Bite deserves top billing but he was workmanlike here last year and had a gruelling battle in the Gold Cup.  Bristol de Mai has plenty to prove away from Haydock whilst Definitely Red looked a bit flat last time.

Grand Vision, (1605 Aintree), 1pt win, 4/1

The hunter chase over the big fences.  Last year’s runner up Balnaslow would have a big chance but may not want it too soft.  On figures, the Colin Tizzard trained Grand Vision has this in the bag being rated 8lbs and upwards ahead of his rivals.  That’s a true rating as he was winning handicaps before a fair 6th in the Cheltenham foxhunters.  He goes on heavy ground which could be essential and has the kind of prominent run style that goes well here and the superb Jamie Codd on board.  Veteran On The Fringe may be the biggest danger in the mud.

Doitforthevillage, (1640 Aintree), 1pt win, 10/1

Looked well suited to this helter skelter race when looming up at the 4th last in last year’s race only to come down.  Won well at Cheltenham at the start of the year and has then preserved his mark by running hurdles until the Cheltenham Festival.  Everything went wrong in the Grand Annual there and he stayed on well for a distant 6th.  Granted a bit more luck he can reverse form with Theinval, whilst favourite King’s Socks is priced on how he looked after 2 miles of a 2m5f race at Cheltenham but his will be an altogether more frantic test of jumping.

Getaway Katie Mai, (1715 Aintree), 1pt win, 5/2

Ran a blinder at the Leopardstown festival when just run out of it late on in the mares bumper to come second to Relegate.  That one went on to win the Cheltenham Festival Bumper so it is just about the best form around.  Kept fresh and with Jamie Codd in the saddle she should be tough to beat. Dissavril looked good on debut and has to rate a danger, whilst Posh Trish beat Getaway Katie Mai by 14l when both were making their point-to-point debuts.  We think the favourite has a touch of class, and is bred to handle softer ground , and should win.

The Daily Yankee:

Cyrname – Supasundae – Grand Vision – Getaway Katie Mai

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