Although Stage 10 panned out with a breakaway winner it did not go as we had predicted with Thomas de Gendt somehow missing the break. In behind, with Team Sky’s vice like grip limiting the attacks allied to a long descent at the finish, few of the elite climbers chose to show their hand.
On to Stage 11 and although its a mere 108km the route has four categorised climbs culminating in a summit finish at La Rosiere. Two of the climbs are of the HC variety and they are first up ensuring that the elite climbers will be to the fore from the gun.
The whole stage is effectively a carbon copy of one from this years Dauphine and several of the riders will know what to expect. With over 4000m of climbing there will be no hiding place for any of the would be General Classification contenders.
Expect Sky to ride a searching tempo from the get go with one eye firmly on winning the stage. With Geraint Thomas and Chris Froome both potential Tour winners and the team with the strongest squad; one expects Sky will have a big say in the finish today.
Another team who have the tools to dismantle this type of stage are Movistar. The Spanish team quietly marked Sky yesterday and with both Mikel Landa and Nairo Quintana slightly down on the GC – due to mechanicals and misfortune – we believe they will attempt to attack. Indeed an on song Quintana would see this stage as tailor made for his supreme climbing abilities.
Having hit the podium on several occasions the diminutive Colombian is only interested in the Maillot Jaune and to realize that ambition he has to go all guns blazing on the Alpine slopes in the coming two days.
Not even Chris Froome can live with an on song Quintana and after being quietly effective over the cobbles on a stage he would have dreaded we believe today we will see the Colombian come to the fore.
Recommendation: Nairo Quintana to win Stage 11 of the Tour De France, 1pt win, 10/1 (BetFred)
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