The Tour De France moves into its third week after the final rest day and Stage 16 is sure to test the legs of all and sundry with a rolling profile before some challenging climbs toward the end of the day.
Of the three climbing stages left it is by far the easiest so in keeping with the last few days Sky are unlikely to control the break provided there are no lingering threats hidden in there. Indeed with the sizable numbers in the last few breaks most teams are represented and under no duress to close it down.
What that means is that the lottery of who gets in the early move could effectively decide the stage winner.
Further complicating matters is the tough finish that will suit the purer climbers. The start of the stage is considerably easier so it will by no means a guarantee that climbers will comprise the move.
All that being said we are particularly keen on the chances of Rafa Majka of continuing Bora-Hansgrohes fantastic tour. With Peter Sagan dominating the Green Jersey they have plundered numerous stages.
Majka endured a poor start to the Tour which curtailed any of his GC hopes thus allowing him to go on the hunt for stages. He has gradually shown signs of regaining his form culminating in a long range attack on Stage 15 where he headed the field.
The steep descents did not suit the Pole at the end however and he had to settle for a respectable top 10 finish.
There is no doubt he has found the legs which have provided him will several top level successes and this Stage looks firmly within his grasp provided he gets into the early move.
In the battle for GC we anticipate Primoz Roglic to attack again on the closing climbs. Indeed if it were all to come back together he would be our choice of the stage winner with his sizable motor able to produce sustained high powered attacks.
Recommendation: To win Stage 16 of the Tour De France, Rafa Majka, 1pt win, 12/1 Ladbrokes
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