We’re taking a pass on the UK cards today and concentrating on the Friday evening instalment of this year’s Breeders Cup from Churchill Downs, Kentucky.
The Daily Yankee
NAP OF THE DAY: Sergei Prokofiev, (1921 Churchill Downs), 1pt win, 4/1 generally available
This turf event looks set for export with English and Irish challengers dominating the market. Soldier’s Call has won all 4 where he has grabbed an early lead and lost the 3 where he hasn’t. The home runners may not have as much quality but they’ll be super fast from the gates and should endanger Soldier’s Call’s lead. That could set things up for hit-and-miss Sergei Prokofiev. He has run some stinkers but then was brilliant at Newmarket last time. His hold up style may suit this rapid early pace, and in O’Brien and Moore we have a combo well versed in Breeders Cup success.
Varenka, (2000 Churchill Downs), 66/1: Ok so it’s going to be very hard to beat hot favourite Newspaperofrecord who made all for a runaway win last time. The European challenge is unconvincing. We’ll take a chance on Varenka, beaten nearly 7l by the favourite last time. If there is a contested pace to soften the favourite then Varenka could outrun her massive odds.
Jaywalk, (2040 Churchill Downs), 6/1: The fillies hit the dirt here. There should be a fight for prominent position and Jaywalk can benefit from a tactical flexibility being able to make all or sit just off the pace. Top jockey Joel Rosario has voted with his saddle for Jaywalk having ridden the useful Sippican Harbor as well.
Anthony Van Dyck, (2122 Churchill Downs), 11/4: Another race that looks one for the raiders. A number have chances, but it’s the O’Brien-Moore combo that appeals again with the quality of Anthony Van Dyck. He has chased home top 2yos Quorto and Too Darn Hot in his last two runs, both of whom would be massive favourites here. He can make hay in their absence.
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