Champions League: Size matters…

There are two more Champions League ties involving English clubs tonight, but these are unlikely to involve the same drama as yesterday’s fixtures given both Manchester clubs are already through to the knockout phase.

Manchester City are at home to Hoffenheim and have already basically guaranteed themselves top position in the group. They are expected to win comfortably tonight, having beaten tonight’s opponents away from home, and  will want to consign Saturday’s defeat to Chelsea to the history bin.

Trying to find value in a Man City game is quite tricky as the bookies always factor in a lot of goals, but big central defender Nicolas Otamendi is likely to play, having been rested on the weekend, and is a threat from set pieces.

The second game sees Manchester United travel to Spain to take on Valencia. The two teams played out a goalless draw in their first game but the situation is different now. United are through and could claim top spot if Juventus slip up while Valencia can do no better than third. This suggests the visitors have more to play for.

United looked quite fluent on the weekend against Fulham and have a difficult game on Sunday at Anfield. This suggests that more fringe players will start today, including Marouane Fellaini.

The lanky Belgian scored late on against Young Boys to secure the win for United and progress into the knockout phase, and will always be a threat at set pieces. We’ll take him to net again.

Recommendations:

Man City/Hoffenheim: Otamendi to score anytime, 1 pt, at 7/1, Unibet 

Valencia/Man United: Fellaini to score anytime, 1 pt, at 6/1, Paddy Power 

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