Premier League: Milner to profit from the spot…

There are three Premier League games scheduled this Sunday, ending with the big one, Liverpool versus Manchester United.

Let’s start with that Anfield game first. Liverpool currently stand 16 points above United in the league, yet have had difficulty beating their fierce rivals of late. The last two league games at Anfield have been goalless draws, and we have to go back eight league matches before a Liverpool win.

However, United boss Jose Mourinho will find it difficult to shut up shop this time given the number of injuries his team is suffering in defence. It may almost be worth his while to take a chance and open the game up as unlikely as that sounds!

We at Lap of the Odds think Liverpool will have too much, and expect them to win. But there’s one stat that stands out for us – there have been seven penalties in the last 10 games between these two teams in all competitions.

With that in mind we’re going to side with Liverpool’s James Milner (a likely penalty taker) to score at anytime during the game.

The earlier televised game sees Arsenal travel south to take on a Southampton side managed for the first time at home by new boss Ralph Hasenhuttl.

The Gunners are currently on a long unbeaten run and will be expecting to pick up three points today. However, they have not had it easy at St. Mary’s of late, winning just one of their last seven league fixtures here.

We think the new manager will have his Southampton side well drilled and combative to start (bookings could be worth studying) and it will take time for Arsenal to get on top.  Indeed Arsenal have been notorious slow starters themselves this season and amazingly have yet to lead in a league match at half time. Thus we’ll go for a draw at halftime before an Arsenal win at full time.

The third game sees Chelsea travel down to Brighton fresh off their win over defending Premier League champions Manchester City.

The Amex Stadium is never an easy place to visit, but Chelsea must arrive in a confident mood after their victory over City last weekend. Most of their key players were rested midweek and we thus fully expect the Blues to take home the three points.

One of Chelsea’s players who has shone in the last few weeks has been Reuben Loftus-Cheek. The young English midfielder has been given license to play further forward and has rewarded his manager with two goals in his last three league games.

Yet he can still be backed at over 4/1 to score anytime during today’s match. We think this represents a good bet.

Recommendations:

Liverpool/Man Utd: Milner to score at anytime, 1 pt, at 9/2, William Hill

Southampton/Arsenal: Draw at halftime, Arsenal at full time, 1 pt, at 4/1, SkyBet

Brighton/Chelsea: Loftus-Cheek to score anytime, 1 pt, at 17/4, Unibet 

The treble of all three above, 0.5pts win, c110/1…come on Santa, I’ve been a very good boy !!

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