PGA Tour: Try Louis in Austin…

It’s to Texas this week, as the PGA Tour welcomes the WGC Dell Match Play from the Austin Country Club.

The majority of the top 64 players in the world line up in 16 groups of four, with the group members playing each other in the match play format to determine a group winner. It’s only that person who advances to the last 16.

This is the fourth time this course has been used for this event, and the previous winners have been Jason Day, Dustin Johnson and the defending champion Bubba Watson. These are all major winners, but also very long hitters off the tee. We think this is important, as the course has five par 4s under 400 yards, ie potentially drivable, while its par 5s are all long, between 565-600 yards.

What’s also interesting this year is how the draw has worked out. The world number one, DJ, is seeded one, the number two Justin Rose, is seeded two etc. But this has resulted in a lopsided draw, with the likes of DJ, Rory McIlroy and Justin Thomas, long hitters all, in the top half. We have a leaning towards DJ, but we’ll leave that half alone until the last 16 becomes clearer.

However, we do have a fancy in the bottom half. Louis Oosthuizen is sneaky long off the tee, scrambled very well last weekend at Innsbruck and has drawn a good group. We’ll take the 40/1 on offer.

We’ve also taken a look at the individual groups and have picked out a four group accumulator.

We like Dustin Johnson to win Group 1, Marc Leishman to win Group 6, Paul Casey in Group 10 and Bubba Watson in Group 15.

Recommendations:

Oosthuizen to win, 1 pt, at 40/1, widely available

Johnson, Leishman, Casey and Watson all to win as an accumulator, 1 pt, at approximately 34/1, William Hill

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