We kept our profit-every-day run at Punchestown yesterday (marginally) with 2pt nap Snugsborough Hall (3/1) the saviour when bolting up. Can we keep it going?…
NAP Of THE DAY: Ask Susan, (1655 Punchestown), 2pts win, 3/1:
Every so often Willie Mullins inherits a horse from another yard, and when he does it isn’t always worth a close look as he can improve them enormously. Ask Susan earned her rating for a small yard before losing her way. Switched to Willie she ran a blinder when 6th over hurdlesbat Fairyhouse, and this return to chasing looks sure to suit. It’s a tough race but the stable are flying and the chances are they will have improved this mare a ton.
RACE OF THE DAY: Buveur D’Air, (1730 Punchestown), 1pt win, 7/4:
The highlight of the day, but good reasons to oppose all of these, each of whom is arguably below their best or facing sub optimal conditions. Buveur looks short of the horse he was, but still arguably could have won at Aintree but for being outstayed by Supasundae. This sharper test should suit and he is given the nod albeit any result here would be plausible.
Rest Of The Card:
Alpha Male, (1540 Punchestown), 1pt win, 5/4:
This is the poorest race of the week and has attracted (?) an appropriate field. That said, Alpha Male won this by 30l last year, and although totally outclassed in much higher grade since, this is like dropping back to the non-leagues, and he should repeat last year’s thrashing.
Poker Party, (1620 Punchestown), 1pt win, 6/1:
A horse we have napped for his last two wins, and although much higher in the weights he is a progressive novice and may not have stopped winning yet. The raise in class means he continues to get a good racing weight albeit against better oppo. Missed Cheltenham, Aintree and Fairyhouse and seemingly has had this race as his target and can be another big winner for Rachael Blackmore.
City Island, (1805 Punchestown), 1pt win, 11/8:
One of our Cheltenham heroes and on that form will be very hard to beat. Has had a light season so every reason to think he can follow up here. Easy Game is a big price and might reward each way backers under much more suitable conditions.
Caid Du Berlais, (1635 Punchestown), 1pt win 13/2:
Was a very easy winner of this race last year. Doesn’t quite stay the trip at Cheltenham and was found out there again this year on softer ground. Back st a course he loves and on a hopefully better racing surface he can spring a small surprise against some big name rivals.
Gardens Of Babylon, (1920 Punchestown), 1pt win, 5/2:
As a juvenile he gets a handy weight allowance here. Falls just short of top class and lacks the cruising speed to be effective at grade 1. But this fractionally lower grade represents a great opportunity and the quicker they go the more likely his grinding slugging style will come through.
Longhouse Poet, (1945 Punchestown), 1pt win, 9/2:
An open looking bumper. Trainer Martin Brassil can get a good one (see City Island earlier) and it may be significant that leading amateur Derek O’Connor has chosen to maintain his combination with Longhouse Poet having ridden him in his easy point-to-point win. This very nicely bred sort may be able to beat the short priced Mullins favourite.
The Daily Yankee:
Alpha Male – Poker Party – Ask Susan – City Island
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