Eurovision: Mahmood has us Soldi…

We may not be ones for feather boas and glitter (at least not in public), but whether you love europop, thunderous East European power ballads or watching the UK crash and burn, there’s no question that the Eurovision Song Contest is enlivened by a good bet.

26 finalists line up in Tel Aviv, with many (including Ireland) sitting it out after semi final elimination.  The Netherlands are odds on favourites with a powerful ballad with a decent anthemic chorus.  Very well performed it will be very hard to beat with the markets now so heavily informed by internet polls.  That said they have a tricky running order draw in 12, and must be too short at odds-on.

We prefer the chances of curious cross genre Italy entry Mahmood with “Soldi”.  He certainly stands out as more contemporary than most, has a cool clap catch in the chorus and a great slot as number 22 on the night.  He won’t be to everyone’s taste but he is the type who could just catch the moment on the night.

Australia have a good late draw and eye-catching visuals, but another late draw, Azerbaijan, may be better value.  A lively and contagious song for a country who seem to regularly over perform in this, it may not have enough to win but could hit the frame.

Of the very long odds, the former Former Yugoslav republic, now rebranded as North Macedonia, has a strong song with socially earnest motives that could outperform it’s tricky slot at 8, and it’s dismissive odds.

Finally, it looks a two runner race to the bottom in a classic Germany v UK contest. For all that Germany’s “Sisters” is clearly deserving of the wooden spoon, the chance to give Brexit Britain the cold shoulder may prove irresistible, and sadly the song gives precious little incentive for any neighbourly love.

Recommendations:

Italy, 1pt win, 20/1 Unibet

Azerbaijan, 1pt Top 4 Finish, 7/4 Skybet

North Macedonia, 0.25pts each way (1/5th top 5), 150/1 Skybet

United Kingdom to come last, 0.5pts win, 4/1 Skybet

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