Wembley Stadium hosts the FA Cup final this evening, with Manchester City seeking to become the first team to do the domestic treble in the history of the English league. Standing in their way are Watford, who made it through to this stage via an incredible comeback over Wolves.
After beating Chelsea on penalties to win the Carabao Cup and just a few days after clinching the league title, City are overwhelming favourites to claim the treble with victory tonight. They have won their last 10 games against Watford in all competitions.
That said, Watford have had a very good season. It’s true they slipped back after winning their semifinal, but they, along with Wolves, are widely regarded as being among the best teams in the league outside of the top six.
Watford are unlikely to get much of the ball, and will have to harry their illustrious opponents while making the most of set pieces. Step forward Troy Deeney. Watford’s captain leads his team with passion and commitment. This can boil over either with excitement (and shirt removal) in the case of a Watford goal or with frustration if it’s not going their way. He’s 4/1 to be booked, and we think that offers value.
And we think frustration is the most likely of this options. City have been excellent this season and have had a full week to prepare for today’s game, a rarity for them in this packed season.
Main striker Sergio Aguero has an superb record against Watford, scoring 10 goals in seven matches, including two hat-tricks. He’s odds on to score today but some of the more adventurous may want to take the 18/1 on offer that he scores another three.
However, hat-tricks in Cup finals are rare and so we’ll side with Bernardo Silva. The Portuguese star has been one of City’s players of the year, and we’ll take the 3/1 that he scores today.
Deeney to be booked, 1 pt, at 4/1, Ladbrokes
Bernardo Silva to score anytime, 1 pt, at 3/1, Paddy Power
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