Saturday Yankee: Big Var decision…

A great runaway win for yesterday’s nap Our Little Pony (7/1 early, 5/1 SP). And we will be reinvesting those winnings with our first 3pt nap of the Summer….

The Daily Yankee

NAP OF THE DAY: Orvar, (1525 Doncaster), 3pts win, 6/1:

Occasionally everything falls into place. We have been watching Orvar for a while without pulling the trigger, but we’re going with all our ammunition today. He has really been running well in recent efforts but with little luck at all. The plus side is that his rating has been on the slide and he now gets to run here off a 4lb lower mark than when winning this race last year. These conditions are obviously ideal, and the opposition here are easier than he has faced for a while. The booking of Oisin Murphy is an obvious plus and he should be a warm favourite so we have to go in with our boots on at these prices.

Flying Pursuit, (1405 Ripon), 17/2: this is a track that suits course specialists. None come more special than old Piper’s Note but his form seems to have tailed off. Next in the course specialists is Flying Pursuit who has three wins here as well as being 5th and 6th the last two years in today’s big race. Dropped in class in this consolation event as a result of being 11lbs below last year’s mark, he also gets ground with a bit of cut which is essential to his best form. Needs pace in the low draws, but is capable of making his own if nothing else goes on. Blog favourite Paddy Power is bubbling under by this may not be his track.

Double Kodiac, (1450 Doncaster), 2/1: looks thrown in here for trainer Simon Crisford. Has been off the track since April but won his debut last year, and that seasonal debut in April was outstanding, so a lay-off is not necessarily a problem. On that April run, based on all the horses he beat a mid-90s rating would seem appropriate, and based on the one who beat him a mark close to 100 would be par. Somehow he has been left on his legacy mark of 85, and he simply has to be backed off that mark.

Gunmetal, (1515 Ripon), 14/1: dominated this race when making all for a wide margin win over Dakota Gold last year. That was up the stand rail, now he has the far rail, but he could get an easy lead over there and a 4lb higher mark looks reasonable. Ran really well winning his side of the Wokingham, albeit 6th overall, and can be forgiven a poor run at Goodwood last time as that track does not suit everyone. Ripon form is gold dust and he can show that again by once again fending off Dakota Gold to claim the big prize.

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