Our golfing selections were just profitable last year, but that was largely down to Shane Lowry’s Open success and our hit rate was disappointing. So we’ve decided to change how we look at betting on the sport.
Traditionally we’ve looked at players in form who have previously shown a liking for the course in question. But this is also how the bookmakers view the sport and we’ve found it difficult to find an edge.
Instead we’ve decided to pick a stable of golfers for the year, a group that we feel can either stay at the top of the game or have the ability to substantially climb the world rankings. If they do titles will likely follow.
These are the players we’ve selected – Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas and Jon Rahm, make up the elite list. Bubbling just under are Sungjae Im, Abraham Ancer, Victor Perez, Cameron Smith and Joaquin Niemann. We will also include some dangerous outsiders – Collin Morikawa, Robert MacIntyre, Matthias Schwab and Adri Arnaus.
These won’t be the only golfers we select, but they will be uppermost in our minds when looking fresh at a tournament.
Turning to the Sentry Tournament of Champions, starting Thursday at the Kapalua Plantation Course in Hawaii. Rahm and Thomas lead the betting, and both have a tremendous record at the event, and have been playing well of late. We’re going to side with the Spaniard as a two point play as he will be fully rested while Thomas was competing in the Presidents Cup in Australia.
Niemann and Morikawa are also taking part, and we feel the Chilean offers better each way value.
Rahm to win, 2 pts, at 9/2, Paddy Power
Niemann 0.5 pts each way at 50/1, 1/5 the odds for the first five places, William Hill
Please subscribe for notification of up-to-date tips and news, and follow us on Twitter and Facebook.