Premier League: Troy’s Achilles heel…

The Premier League weekend starts with a tricky game to call – Watford versus Tottenham.

A few weeks ago thus would have been a banker away win, but times change. Watford are in a roll under new manager Nigel Pearson, collecting 13 points from their last six games, a total only beaten by Manchester City and Liverpool.

Tottenham, on the other hand, have some issues to address. They have won only one of their last five games, and could lose three league games in a row for the first time in over seven years. They have also only won twice at Vicarage Road in their last nine league meetings.

One of the key factors in Watford’s return to form has been the recovery from injury of Troy Deeney. He is the club captain, the focus point up front and the team’s driving force. He sets an aggressive tone, giving the opposition’s central defenders a hard time.

This way of playing often occurs the displeasure of the referee, but is vital for his team. He’s been booked in his last three league games, but is 5/1 to see yellow today. We think that’s value.

The late game comes from St. James’ Park as Newcastle entertain Chelsea.

The Magpies have hit a bit of a slump in the league, hampered by what manager Steve Bruce calls the worst injury crisis he has ever experienced. They have won just once in their last six league matches.

Today’s opponents, Chelsea, have been up and down, which is probably not surprising given the number of young players in their side. That said, they have won three of their last five league games and will come into this clash with confidence.

We think an away win is the likely result today, particularly given Newcastle had a FA Cup replay to play midweek while Chelsea were resting.

With this in mind, we’re going to side with Tammy Abraham to score the opening goal. The young striker has had a great season to date, scoring 13 goals in the league.

Recommendations:

Watford/Tottenham: Deeney to be booked, 1 pt, at 5/1, bet365

Newcastle /Chelsea: Abraham to score first, 1 pt, at 100/30, Paddy Power

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