Derby Day Yankee: Frankly my dear….

The Derby: Max Vega, (1655 Epsom), 1pt ew, 33/1 top 4 places : 

English King is the most obvious one here under Frankie, and he has drifted to a fair price, but that is after receiving the horrific stall 1 draw and that’s enough to avoid.  Kameko is a class act put his pedigree screams 10f and no more.  The O’Brien squad are the bigger danger, and whilst the market says Mogul or Russian Emperor, its Irish Guineas runner up Vatican City that looks much the best to us.  That said, in an open year, it is hard to see why Max Vega should be 40/1.  A useful juvenile he really stays well and is a  neat little horse who should go well around Epsom.  It could pay to overlook a modest reappearance effort at a wholly unsuitable Kempton, in which case he has a solid each way chance that would only be enhanced by any rain.

The Daily Yankee:

NAP OF THE DAY:  Frankly Darling, (1540 Epsom), 2pts win, 2/1:

The first of the day’s double Classic feast sees the fillies in the Oaks.  Love is a short priced favourite having thrashed the 1000 Guineas field despite being bred for this longer trip.  She was exuberant there, and there must be a question whether she could find this too much of a test.  Main rival Frankly Darling won as a Nap for us at Ascot and can do the same here.  No fears for her at the trip having won that Ascot race despite running far too freely early on.  Connections run a possible pacemaker here to ensure a good early pace that will help Frankly settle and ensure it ends up a good test of stamina.  She can win on a big day for Frankie.

Alternative Fact, (1440 Haydock), 11/2:  this race features a few interesting types in Barossa Red, Shelir and Alternative Fact.  All three have claims for this, but the conditions at Haydock look likely to rise quite testing, and that should play into the hands/hooves of Alternative Fact.  He won over 10f on soft last Autumn so should handle this test well.  A good 6th here on reappearance when getting little luck, he was an excellent third in the Silver Hunt Cup at Ascot.  That level of form should be enough to just pip Shelir, but the soft ground can help him assert that superiority.

Caradoc, (1500 Epsom), 6/1:  the big question here is how well in favourite Dubai Icon is under just a 6lb penalty for a Newmarket romp.  He may have been flattered there tactically and that will. E harder to pull off here.  In Caradoc he has a potentially progressive rival.  He just got better and better last year and can continue that progress.  He stays 12f so a strong run test here should suit.

Straight Right, (1735 Epsom),  12/1:  when we see this race and front running locally trained course specialist Corazon Espinado it is hard to look elsewhere.  He is sure to go close, but there could be plenty of competition for the lead.  This race could be ideal for Straight Right.  He is better known for his all weather exploits, but he may not have had enough chance to show his best on turf.  His last four turf runs have been in big Ascot races and you have to go back nearly 3 years to a non-Ascot run when his best turf run was a good hits at Goodwood.  That effort on an undulating downhill track augurs well do here, and his mid division finish at Ascot last time wasn’t bad.  His slipping rating let’s him in here in a lower grade race off top weight and that could be just the change he needs.

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