Day 2 of Galway looks lethal for punters and best avoided, Day 1 of Goodwood is only a little kinder but that gets the focus. Treading carefully today as the next few days look much more enticing…
The Daily Yankee
NAP OF THE DAY: Cape Cavalli, (1345 Goodwood), 1pt win 11/2:
A high quality race in which old favourites Fifth Position and particularly Bell Rock look interesting. But there is no getting away from how good Cape Cavalli looked at York last time. He is up 8lbs for that cruise, but the superb Cieren Fallon negates 3lbs of that with his claim and although drawn wide, that can help in negotiating the inevitable Goodwood traffic nightmares up the home straight.
Wasaayef, (1310 Goodwood), 3/1: Finished a three run juvenile campaign by narrowly failing to give Queen Daenerys 6lbs. That one is now rated 103, making Wasaayef attractive off just 93 here. It is a belated start to the season for her, but surely master trainer John Gosden would have started her in quieter waters if that was an issue.
Duke of Hazzard, (1445 Goodwood), 13/2: official figures have Space Blues a pound ahead of Safe Voyage with a 2lb gap back to Sir Dancealot. That’s pretty cramped but about right on the balance of form with Sire Dancealot narrowly favoured on course from having won this race the last twice. But Duke of Hazzard has a rating equal to all of those and has won all three runs at this track. His third over a mile at Ascot last time was a quality effort, and he looks set to take a prominent role here from the outset and he can be very hard to pass.
Ornate, (1545 Goodwood), 20/1: so there is a ton of pace on here and that should obviously suit hold up horse and blog favourite Celcius but that is fully priced in at these odds. Instead it’s worth taking a big chance with blaze-away front runner Ornate. This old rogue ran here twice at last year’s festival, leading the brilliant Battaash until late in a Group 3 before finishing third and then leading the 6f Stewards Cup until the furlong pole and the tank ran dry. He has been inconsistent since, but showed until leading late at unsuitably stiff Newcastle that he can still mix it. Has a bit to find with veteran Caspian Prince on that form, but this downhill track looks sure to suit Ornate a lot more, and although the rank outsider, he could look a huge price if he can get clear early.
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