Premier League: Tasty Thiago tip…

There are two league games to enjoy later Monday, with the big match seeing defending champions Liverpool hosting Arsenal at Anfield.

Arsenal have done well in the last two fixtures between these sides, winning the Community Shield on penalties and triumphing at the Emirates after Liverpool had clinched the title. That said, all the stats point to a home win, with Arsenal having been put to the sword at Anfield over the last few years.

We lean towards a home win as well, but at 2/1 on that is not going to make anyone rich. Instead we’re going to take a look at the man of the match market.

Thiago Alcantara came on at halftime against Chelsea to make his debut for Liverpool after a prolonged and high profile transfer chase. He immediately looked at home, setting a Premier League passing record despite only playing for 45 minutes.

He had the commentators waxing lyrical about his ability, and we think this is likely to continue tonight if Liverpool manage to win the game. William Hill have him priced at 11/2 to be man of the match, and we think this bet deserves a three point status.

The early game sees Fulham host Aston Villa on the Thames in London, with the hosts struggling defensively on their return to the big time.

Fulham conceded three at home to Arsenal on the opening week and then four at Leeds, losing goals from set pieces on both occasions. Thus could be an issue, as six of the eight goals Villa have scored since the restart have been scored from set pieces.

Ezri Konsa scored last week, his second of the eight goals Villa have scored, and yet he’s still 22/1 to score anytime. We think this price offers value.

Recommendations:

Liverpool/Arsenal: Thiago to be named man of the match, 3 pts, at 11/2, William Hill

Fulham/Aston Villa: Konsa to score anytime, 1 pt, at 22/1, Paddy Power

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