Saturday Yankee: Eq of a bet at Ascot…

The Daily Yankee

NAP OF THE DAY: Raaeq, (1615 Ascot), 2pts win, 4/1:

So this handicap can be filed under nightmare with the consequence of not picking the winner being to endure watching any one of a number of blog regulars take the prize. Raising Sand will go well, Bell Rock will go well, King Ottokar will go well if he wants to and Alternative Fact looks a cracker under Frankie. But sometimes in racing you can’t escape the bleeding obvious. Raaeq is an improving 3yo who stormed to a wide margin win here last time over 7f on soft ground. He has been put up 11lbs for that but is 6lb well in under his penalty for this early closing race. Even that new rating may underestimate him, and whilst it’s fun trying to work out which of the old regulars to back, the truth is that none of them are likely to have as much in the locker off their rating as the new kid on the block.

Onassis, (1355 Ascot), 40/1: ok, so there are some obviously classier types in this race, but these back end races on soft ground can throw up the odd shocker. This filly won very well here in a handicap at the Royal meeting and was very good on deep ground at Goodwood last time. It is asking a lot, but she is an in-form filly who goes in the conditions and she is a massive price.

Mehdaayih, (1430 Ascot), 8/1: a fairly low level field for Group 1 status and a chance for John Gosden’s mare to land a top prize that she has so often hinted at. Copes well with this ground and goes well fresh and is the pick of Frankie. She can be a bit moody, but she is the pick of these by far at her best, and this is a step down from contesting the Prince Of Wales here last time.

Mishriff, (1540 Ascot), 7/2: super filly Magical will clearly be hard to beat on her best form, but she’ll need to be tough after two battles with Ghaiyyath. Mishriff comes down the 3yo route, having won the French Derby and then a good race at Deauxville. He arrives fresher then most, handles the ground, and has been deeply impressive in his wins. Pyledriver could run well at a price, but Mishriff has more class on what could be a huge day for Messrs Gosden and Dettori.

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