This Premier League Saturday starts on the south coast as Brighton host Liverpool at the Amex Stadium.
Liverpool are odds on to win this game, but we’re less sure of the value in that bet having watched their midweek Champions League defeat to Atalanta. Was this the first sign of their spate of injuries catching up with the defending champions, of just a one-off, after all they were impressive in beating Leicester last weekend?
Liverpool have only won one of their four away fixtures in the league this season, and while they could easily win this game we’ll look for value elsewhere. The main area injuries has hit Liverpool hard has been central defence, potentially making them susceptible to set pieces. We’re going to take a punt on Brighton skipper Lewis Dunk getting his head to a cross, at a healthy 11/1.
The next match sees Manchester City host Burnley at the Etihad Stadium, looking to get their league campaign back on track after defeat to Tottenham last weekend.
City haven’t managed more than one goal in any of their last six league games, something of a drought to this usually free-scoring team, but they have a good opportunity to correct this against a side lying just one point above the releagation zone.
New signing Ferran Torres was rested on the bench for City’s match midweek, suggesting he should start today. Although he has yet to net in the Premier League, he has scored in his three European starts, suggesting he has the pedigree to find the net. We’ll take him to score anytime today, at 7/5.
The early evening game could easily be the most entertaining of the day, as Everton host Leeds at Goodison Park. Both sides like to play attractive, attacking football and this could lead to a number of goals.
We’re still not sure how Leeds avoided beating Arsenal last weekend, with only the woodwork and an inspired performance from Gunners goalkeeper Bernd Leno keeping them out. That sort of form should be enough to severely test an Everton defence which has conceded at least twice in six successive top-flight fixtures for the first time in 12 years.
Strong running midfielder Mateusz Klich could well prove a handful for his opponents, and the fact he also takes penalties means we#re going to take a punt on him scoring, at 7/2.
The late game sees West Brom host Sheffield United, a game even this early in the season looks important in determining potential relegation spots. The main reason why these two sides sit at the bottom of the table is the lack of goals – West Brom have scored only six in nine games and Sheffield only four!
With this in mind, and this being a goalscorer bet, we’re going to leave this match for just the purists.
Dunk (Brighton), Torres (Man City) and Klich (Leeds) as a Trixie (three doubles and a treble). Prices due to Paddy Power.