Premier League: Rampant Rashford…

Subscribers to Lap of the Odds had a good start to Saturday as Mohamed Salah scored the opening goal of the fixture list. That turned out to be the high point, not only for the subscribers but also a Liverpool team that looked shot of confidence defensively.

The first game we’ll look at on Sunday’s fixture list is West Brom versus Manchester United at the Hawthorns – a game which pits the team with the best away record in the league against a side which can’t stop conceding!

United are currently unbeaten in 18 Premier League away matches, their longest such run in top-flight history. They are likely to welcome back Luke Shaw, Bruno Fernandes, Edinson Cavani and Scott McTominay after being rested midweek.

West Brom have conceded 54 Premier League goals this season, more than any other team, and they surely won’t have enough to keep out a confident United side. Six of Marcus Rashford‘s eight Premier League goals this season have come away from home, with United’s counterattacking style suiting his pace. We’ll take a punt he opens the scoring today.

The next game sees Arsenal host Leeds at the Emirates. The reverse fixture earlier this season ended in the only goalless draw Marcelo Bielsa’s side have had in 24 games in all competitions this season, but the game was still wide open.

We expect goals today, especially as both Thomas Partey and Kalvin Phillips, the defensive midfielders on both sides, are likely to be missing through injury.

Patrick Bamford has had an excellent seasons, scoring 12 league goals so far. Only Harry Kane has averaged more attempts at goal than the Leeds centre-forward this season, and almost half of those efforts have arrived with his head, with Leeds delivering the division’s fourth-most crosses. We’ll take a punt the Leeds striker scores a header.

The late games sees Everton host Fulham at Goodison Park.

The Toffees will be without top scorer Dominic Calvert-Lewin, who suffered a minor hamstring strain on Wednesday during their FA Cup win over Tottenham, but they still managed to score five. They should still be too strong for Fulham, a team that hasn’t won a league match for 12 games.

In Calvert-Lewin’s absence, Richarlison is likely to lead the line. The Brazilian scored a brace last time out against Spurs and is bound to have gained confidence from this. He’s 12/1 to repeat the feat this evening, and we’ll take a punt on that.

Recommendations:

West Brom/Man United: Rashford to score first, 1 pt, at 5/1, Paddy Power

Arsenal/Leeds: Bamford to score a header, 1 pt, at 12/1, SkyBet

Everton/Fulham: Richarlison to score a brace, 1 pt, at 12/1, SkyBet

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