Two days in and we are already getting tired of seconds and thirds….thankfully this looks a good day to start converting some of those to wins…
NAP OF THE DAY:
1810 Kensington Palace Stakes, Ropey Guest, 2pts each way, 30/1, 6 places
An interesting big field handicap with the potential to be on pretty soft ground should the forecast showers hit. From the high draws Aldaary has the potential to be a class apart whilst Persuasion looks solid. But old Jack’s Point could pull the low draws along at a decent clip, and tempting as old rascal Raising Sand is, last year’s Jersey Stakes placers Symbolise and Ropey Guest look very interesting. Ropey has lots of form on very soft ground so won’t mind at all if it rains. His 6th first time out in the Victoria Cup was an excellent start to his season and could have been better with a clearer run. He looks likely to run a much bigger race than his price suggests.
REST OF THE CARD:
1430 Norfolk Stakes, Go Bears Go, 1pt win 9/1
Wesley Ward and Aidan O’Brien supply the three market leaders here although their dominant 2yo records here have take a few dents this week so far. We prefer course winner Go Bears Go who should be indifferent to conditions should any storms come through and showed plenty of promise with that debut win here.
1505 Hampton Court Stakes, One Ruler, 1pt win, 5/1
Willie Haggas trained Muhaafeth is unbeaten in three runs this season but won’t want too much rain. Movin Time had his form flattered by yesterday’s Queens Vase winner and has a decent chance but this is a big step down for One Ruler after finishing 6th in both the Guineas and the Derby. Has run well on fast and soft so won’t wind the rain and may be overlooked here for less exposed but arguably less talented rivals.
1540 Ribblesdale Stakes, Gloria Mundi, 1pt win, 6/1
An interesting edition of this Oaks consolation. Divinely ran 3rd at Epsom but the value of placings there is as yet unproven given the winner was 16l clear. Noon Star ran the Oaks winner closer at York, but we look to the rematch of Gloria Mundi and Eshaada. John Gosden’s filly went down by a neck when they met last time out but being by Galileo she should relish this extra yardage and won’t mind any rain storms.
1615 Ascot Gold Cup, Trueshan, 1pt win, 5/1
The legendary Stradivarius goes for a fourth straight win in this event and fifth straight at the meeting and is clearly hard to beat. He did look vulnerable as the season wore on last year and particularly on soft ground and if rain falls then he could be under threat even allowing for winning this in an awesome cruise on mud last year. Trueshan is very progressive and won here in the mud last Autumn. He should improve further now with age and is the only plausible value option against the legend.
1700 Britannia Stakes, Air To Air, 2pts win, 8/1
Always a cracker and no less so this year. We are very sweet on the progressive Air To Air who won a novice event before landing his handicap debut at Doncaster in really eye-catching fashion. Ridden with typical confidence by Spencer he cruised along before slicing through for a decisive win. That’s a great run style for this race and the fact that he can be ridden chilly out the back may compensate for the risk that the obvious pace here is mostly amongst the high numbers, but we will trust Spence to chart the course needed to deliver this red-hot form horse when it matters.
1735 King George V Stakes, Surrey Gold, 1pt win, 8/1
Absolutely crushed his opponents in a Newbury handicap last time and this was probably the target ever since. The ground was on the soft side there and he will certainly want to see some rain to be at his best, but he looks likely to get his way if the forecast holds true. A wide draw can be a disadvantage but less so if there is cut in the ground and he looks a lively one for his trainer who is so adept at targeting these races.
The Daily Yankee
Trueshan – Air To Air – Surrey Gold – Ropey Guest
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